3311. Weight Risk Using Uncertainty Analysis for a Marine System
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Paper
3311. Weight Risk Using Uncertainty Analysis for a Marine System. 2003.
Abstract
This paper presents a risk assessment method that can be used to validate margin estimates. An uncertainty methodology is used to determine the probability of the final weight based on the current weight estimate. This method has been used in the aerospace industry but not extensively in the marine industry. The paper presents a description of risk, the method, two examples on the system and ship level, as well as how to interpret the results.
